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Fundamental analysis
Valuing a currency from economic data, policy and capital flows.
Fundamental analysis in forex studies interest-rate expectations, inflation, growth, employment, trade balances and central-bank communication to form a view on the relative value of two currencies.
Rate expectations dominate. Currency markets tend to price the anticipated path of policy rather than today's level, which is why an interest-rate decision that matches expectations can move price far less than a shift in tone from the accompanying statement.
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